Bologna vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
43.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1949 |
TOR
3 - 1
BOL
85%
9%
5%
|
78 | 90 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1949 |
BOL
6 - 1
VNZ
68%
18%
14%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1949 |
SAM
2 - 1
BOL
65%
19%
16%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1949 |
BOL
0 - 0
LAZ
54%
23%
24%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1949 |
COM
2 - 2
BOL
41%
24%
36%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1949 |
ACM
5 - 0
GEN
75%
15%
11%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1949 |
NOV
1 - 3
ACM
29%
23%
48%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 1949 |
ACM
4 - 1
FIO
73%
15%
12%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1949 |
ACM
2 - 0
ASL
74%
15%
11%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1949 |
INT
6 - 5
ACM
53%
21%
26%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |