Bologna vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
36.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1949 |
SAM
1 - 1
BOL
63%
20%
18%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1949 |
JUV
2 - 0
BOL
73%
16%
11%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1949 |
BOL
1 - 3
INT
45%
24%
32%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1949 |
FIO
1 - 0
BOL
52%
23%
25%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 1949 |
BOL
2 - 0
LAZ
58%
22%
21%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1949 |
LAZ
2 - 3
ACM
45%
23%
33%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1949 |
ACM
2 - 2
GEN
72%
15%
12%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1949 |
ACM
2 - 0
PAD
78%
13%
9%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1949 |
JUV
1 - 1
ACM
59%
20%
21%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1949 |
ACM
5 - 1
MOD
78%
14%
8%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | +1 |