Bologna vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.8%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
14.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 1934 |
ROM
1 - 1
BOL
56%
23%
22%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1934 |
BOL
2 - 0
JUV
47%
24%
29%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1934 |
USA
2 - 0
BOL
41%
25%
34%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1934 |
PAL
0 - 1
BOL
20%
22%
58%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1934 |
BOL
1 - 3
TRI
76%
15%
10%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 1934 |
ACM
0 - 1
TRI
65%
19%
16%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1934 |
LIV
0 - 2
ACM
47%
23%
30%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1934 |
ACM
2 - 2
INT
49%
25%
26%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1934 |
LAZ
1 - 4
ACM
55%
22%
23%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 1934 |
ACM
0 - 0
TOR
55%
21%
24%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |