Bologna vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
21.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1929 |
BOL
3 - 1
NAP
61%
20%
20%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1929 |
INT
2 - 1
BOL
67%
17%
16%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1929 |
BOL
2 - 2
TRI
82%
11%
7%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 1929 |
LAZ
3 - 0
BOL
49%
23%
29%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1929 |
BRE
0 - 10
BOL
34%
22%
44%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1929 |
ACM
3 - 1
ROM
59%
20%
21%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1929 |
NAP
2 - 1
ACM
54%
21%
25%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1929 |
ACM
1 - 0
MOD
85%
10%
5%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1929 |
ACM
4 - 1
BRE
66%
18%
16%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | +1 |