Bologna vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.3%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
11.2%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1991 |
TAR
0 - 0
BOL
34%
29%
37%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1991 |
BOL
2 - 1
COS
68%
19%
13%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 1991 |
FIA
2 - 0
BOL
22%
25%
53%
|
73 | 53 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1991 |
BOL
2 - 3
FIA
83%
12%
5%
|
74 | 51 | 23 | -1 |
| 26 May. 1991 |
NAP
3 - 2
BOL
77%
16%
8%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1991 |
VNZ
1 - 0
MES
49%
26%
25%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1991 |
MES
1 - 1
CES
40%
30%
30%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1991 |
PAL
3 - 0
MES
32%
27%
41%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1991 |
MES
1 - 0
PAL
68%
20%
13%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1991 |
ANC
1 - 1
MES
52%
26%
22%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |