Bologna vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.5%
21.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1986 |
USC
1 - 0
BOL
57%
27%
16%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1986 |
BOL
2 - 2
ARZ
56%
27%
17%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1986 |
LEC
2 - 2
BOL
53%
29%
18%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1986 |
BOL
1 - 1
VIC
47%
29%
25%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1986 |
BOL
1 - 0
TRI
51%
29%
21%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1986 |
MES
2 - 1
GEN
51%
27%
22%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1986 |
MES
1 - 0
USC
51%
27%
22%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 1986 |
ARZ
1 - 1
MES
43%
30%
28%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1986 |
MES
3 - 1
CES
55%
26%
19%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 1986 |
PAR
1 - 0
MES
42%
30%
28%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |