Bologna vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.8%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.3%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.8%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
12%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12%
6.2%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1964 |
GEN
0 - 0
BOL
34%
27%
39%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1964 |
BOL
3 - 0
VIC
77%
14%
9%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1964 |
ATL
2 - 0
BOL
35%
27%
38%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 1964 |
AND
1 - 0
BOL
65%
19%
16%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 1964 |
JUV
4 - 1
BOL
59%
21%
20%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1964 |
INT
3 - 1
MES
79%
14%
7%
|
69 | 89 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1964 |
MES
1 - 0
GEN
45%
28%
28%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1964 |
MES
1 - 1
JUV
21%
25%
54%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1964 |
NAP
2 - 1
MES
58%
21%
20%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1964 |
MOD
0 - 0
MES
53%
25%
22%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |