Bologna vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
16.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.9%
16.1%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 1988 |
BOL
1 - 0
SSB
72%
18%
10%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1988 |
INT
3 - 0
BOL
76%
16%
9%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1988 |
ARZ
0 - 1
BOL
39%
31%
30%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1988 |
BOL
4 - 0
ATL
51%
26%
23%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 1988 |
BOL
1 - 3
INT
27%
26%
47%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 1988 |
PAR
1 - 0
LEC
45%
31%
24%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1988 |
LEC
2 - 1
MES
58%
25%
17%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1988 |
FCC
0 - 0
LEC
46%
29%
25%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1988 |
LEC
0 - 0
USC
55%
27%
18%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1987 |
BAR
2 - 0
LEC
45%
30%
25%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |