Bologna vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
19.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1974 |
ACM
1 - 1
BOL
67%
21%
13%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1974 |
BOL
2 - 2
NAP
60%
24%
16%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1974 |
BOL
3 - 1
ATL
77%
15%
8%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1974 |
BOL
1 - 2
VER
68%
20%
12%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1974 |
USF
1 - 1
BOL
34%
30%
36%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1974 |
LAZ
1 - 0
USF
73%
18%
9%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1974 |
TOR
2 - 1
LAZ
51%
27%
22%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 May. 1974 |
PAL
2 - 0
LAZ
24%
25%
51%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1974 |
LAZ
1 - 0
GEN
76%
16%
7%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1974 |
ACM
0 - 0
LAZ
68%
20%
12%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |