Bologna vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
20.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1953 |
GEN
3 - 3
BOL
39%
26%
35%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1953 |
BOL
2 - 0
TOR
54%
22%
24%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1953 |
TRI
3 - 1
BOL
47%
24%
29%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1953 |
BOL
2 - 1
ATL
59%
21%
20%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1953 |
BOL
2 - 2
TOR
52%
22%
25%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1953 |
LAZ
2 - 1
JUV
28%
24%
48%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1953 |
NOV
2 - 1
LAZ
60%
21%
20%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1953 |
LAZ
1 - 1
UNI
70%
18%
12%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1953 |
INT
2 - 0
LAZ
77%
14%
9%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1953 |
TRI
3 - 0
LAZ
46%
25%
30%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |