Bologna vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
23.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1949 |
COM
2 - 2
BOL
41%
24%
36%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1949 |
BOL
0 - 0
GEN
57%
21%
21%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1949 |
FIO
3 - 0
BOL
58%
21%
21%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 1949 |
BOL
1 - 1
TRI
59%
21%
21%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1949 |
BOL
1 - 1
NOV
65%
18%
17%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1949 |
LAZ
4 - 0
NOV
70%
16%
14%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1949 |
SAM
2 - 5
LAZ
64%
19%
17%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 1949 |
LAZ
4 - 2
BAR
70%
17%
13%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1949 |
ACM
0 - 0
LAZ
75%
14%
10%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1949 |
LAZ
3 - 1
ROM
67%
18%
15%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |