Bologna vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.7%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
12.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1941 |
TRI
0 - 0
BOL
35%
27%
38%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1941 |
FIO
3 - 0
BOL
41%
25%
34%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1941 |
BOL
3 - 0
LIV
73%
16%
11%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1941 |
ACM
5 - 1
BOL
43%
25%
31%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1941 |
BOL
5 - 0
INT
56%
22%
22%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1941 |
LAZ
4 - 1
FIO
57%
22%
22%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1941 |
ACM
3 - 0
LAZ
60%
21%
19%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 1941 |
LAZ
2 - 2
BAR
64%
18%
17%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1941 |
VNZ
2 - 0
LAZ
47%
22%
31%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1941 |
LAZ
1 - 1
ATL
62%
19%
19%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |