Bologna vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
15.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1939 |
ACM
0 - 2
BOL
46%
25%
29%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1939 |
BOL
5 - 3
GEN
63%
21%
17%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1939 |
FIO
1 - 0
BOL
36%
26%
38%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1939 |
BOL
3 - 1
TOR
65%
20%
15%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1939 |
MOD
0 - 0
BOL
40%
25%
35%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1939 |
LAZ
1 - 0
NOV
66%
18%
16%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1939 |
LAZ
0 - 1
BAR
64%
19%
18%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1939 |
ACM
0 - 2
LAZ
54%
22%
24%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1939 |
LAZ
4 - 1
GEN
51%
24%
26%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 1939 |
FIO
2 - 3
LAZ
40%
24%
37%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |