Bologna vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.3%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
17%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
12.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1935 |
TOR
0 - 1
BOL
46%
24%
30%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1935 |
BOL
0 - 1
SAM
74%
14%
11%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 1935 |
BOL
3 - 0
NAP
62%
20%
18%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 1935 |
BRE
1 - 1
BOL
33%
26%
41%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1935 |
BOL
2 - 1
FIO
60%
20%
20%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1935 |
LAZ
0 - 0
TRI
60%
21%
20%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1935 |
LIV
0 - 2
LAZ
48%
23%
29%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1935 |
INT
1 - 0
LAZ
77%
14%
9%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1935 |
LAZ
1 - 0
PAL
66%
18%
16%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1935 |
LAZ
1 - 1
TOR
53%
22%
25%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |