UEFA Intertoto Cup Final
Global 3-0
Bologna vs Ruch Chorzów analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.1%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.4%
7.4%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 1998 |
SAM
1 - 0
BOL
63%
21%
16%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 1998 |
BOL
3 - 1
SAM
45%
25%
31%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 1998 |
PRO
3 - 1
BOL
43%
26%
31%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 1998 |
BOL
2 - 0
PRO
67%
20%
14%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1998 |
BOL
2 - 1
LAZ
38%
27%
36%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Ruch Chorzów
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 1998 |
DVS
0 - 3
RCH
55%
23%
22%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 1998 |
OWD
2 - 2
RCH
49%
25%
27%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 1998 |
RCH
1 - 0
DVS
41%
26%
33%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 1998 |
EST
1 - 1
RCH
49%
25%
26%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 1998 |
RCH
1 - 1
EST
52%
25%
24%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |