Bologna vs Inter analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
33.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1968 |
VAR
0 - 0
BOL
30%
30%
40%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1968 |
BOL
0 - 0
VOJ
70%
17%
12%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 1968 |
BOL
2 - 0
TOR
69%
20%
11%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 1968 |
NAP
0 - 0
BOL
44%
27%
30%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1968 |
SPA
1 - 3
BOL
33%
28%
39%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1968 |
TOR
2 - 3
INT
31%
26%
43%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1968 |
INT
3 - 1
FIO
60%
23%
17%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1968 |
SPA
1 - 2
INT
23%
25%
52%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 1968 |
INT
3 - 0
BRE
76%
16%
8%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1968 |
INT
1 - 0
VAR
74%
17%
9%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |