Bologna vs Inter analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
19.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 1941 |
LAZ
5 - 1
BOL
47%
25%
29%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1941 |
BOL
2 - 2
ACL
75%
15%
10%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1941 |
TOR
1 - 0
BOL
56%
22%
22%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 1941 |
BOL
2 - 0
TRI
75%
15%
10%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1941 |
VNZ
1 - 0
BOL
48%
24%
28%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 1941 |
INT
5 - 1
NAP
74%
16%
11%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1941 |
MOD
1 - 1
INT
34%
24%
42%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1941 |
INT
1 - 1
LIV
74%
15%
11%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1941 |
INT
0 - 1
FIO
69%
17%
13%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 1941 |
LAZ
2 - 2
INT
46%
24%
31%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |