Bologna vs Inter analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
22.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1941 |
BAR
1 - 0
BOL
30%
26%
44%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1941 |
BOL
3 - 0
NOV
74%
16%
10%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1941 |
VNZ
1 - 0
BOL
39%
24%
37%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 1941 |
BOL
3 - 0
NAP
75%
16%
9%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 1941 |
ATL
2 - 0
BOL
30%
25%
45%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1941 |
INT
0 - 0
NOV
78%
14%
8%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1941 |
NAP
0 - 1
INT
35%
25%
40%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 1941 |
INT
4 - 0
GEN
71%
16%
13%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1941 |
JUV
2 - 0
INT
49%
23%
28%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 1941 |
INT
1 - 1
LAZ
75%
15%
10%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |