Bologna vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.1%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.4%
8.4%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 1973 |
REG
0 - 1
BOL
28%
25%
47%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 1973 |
JUV
4 - 3
BOL
79%
15%
7%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 1973 |
BOL
1 - 0
INT
45%
25%
30%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 1973 |
BOL
2 - 2
REG
80%
13%
7%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1973 |
BOL
0 - 0
JUV
43%
26%
31%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 1973 |
GEN
1 - 0
LEC
73%
19%
8%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1973 |
CAT
1 - 2
GEN
45%
32%
23%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 1973 |
ASS
1 - 1
GEN
37%
35%
28%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1973 |
GEN
1 - 0
BAR
68%
22%
10%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1973 |
GEN
0 - 1
BRI
72%
19%
9%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |