Bologna vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.1%
18%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 1946 |
JUV
1 - 0
BOL
72%
16%
12%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1945 |
ACM
2 - 2
BOL
55%
22%
23%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1945 |
BOL
0 - 2
TOR
49%
22%
29%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1945 |
TRI
1 - 0
BOL
36%
27%
37%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1945 |
BOL
3 - 0
VNZ
68%
17%
15%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 1946 |
GEN
0 - 2
SAM
77%
14%
9%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1945 |
BRE
3 - 1
GEN
28%
23%
49%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 1945 |
INT
9 - 1
GEN
59%
20%
21%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1945 |
GEN
0 - 3
AND
68%
16%
16%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 1945 |
GEN
1 - 0
ATL
75%
15%
10%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |