Bologna vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
13.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1937 |
SAM
2 - 2
BOL
25%
27%
49%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1937 |
BOL
0 - 0
ASL
80%
12%
8%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1937 |
LAZ
0 - 0
BOL
53%
23%
24%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1937 |
BOL
1 - 0
INT
57%
21%
22%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1937 |
BAR
0 - 1
BOL
36%
28%
36%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1937 |
ASL
2 - 2
GEN
43%
24%
33%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1937 |
GEN
0 - 1
NAP
54%
22%
24%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 1937 |
SAM
0 - 2
GEN
44%
23%
33%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 1937 |
GEN
3 - 1
BAR
66%
18%
16%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1937 |
LAZ
2 - 1
GEN
62%
20%
18%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |