Bologna vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
27.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1991 |
LEC
1 - 3
BOL
47%
28%
25%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1991 |
BOL
1 - 3
PAR
53%
26%
22%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 1991 |
ATL
4 - 0
BOL
58%
25%
17%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1991 |
BOL
2 - 3
ROM
28%
27%
45%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1991 |
BAR
4 - 0
BOL
51%
27%
22%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1991 |
FIO
0 - 0
INT
29%
29%
43%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1991 |
BAR
0 - 0
FIO
40%
29%
30%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1991 |
FIO
1 - 0
JUV
27%
27%
46%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1991 |
LEC
2 - 0
FIO
36%
30%
34%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1991 |
FIO
4 - 1
CAG
72%
18%
10%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |