Bologna vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
25.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 1989 |
BOL
1 - 1
ROM
35%
27%
38%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1989 |
NAP
2 - 0
BOL
80%
14%
6%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1989 |
BOL
2 - 1
LEC
60%
23%
17%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 1989 |
ACM
1 - 0
BOL
78%
16%
6%
|
74 | 89 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1989 |
SAM
3 - 0
BOL
74%
18%
8%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 1989 |
ATL
0 - 0
FIO
44%
29%
27%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1989 |
FIO
2 - 2
INT
27%
27%
45%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1989 |
VER
1 - 0
FIO
45%
28%
27%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1989 |
DYN
0 - 0
FIO
63%
23%
14%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1989 |
FIO
1 - 2
ROM
44%
27%
29%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |