Bologna vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
18.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1975 |
JUV
0 - 0
BOL
76%
16%
9%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1975 |
CES
2 - 2
BOL
35%
30%
34%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1975 |
BOL
1 - 0
NAP
60%
24%
17%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1975 |
ASC
1 - 3
BOL
32%
32%
37%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 1974 |
BOL
2 - 2
SAM
74%
17%
9%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1975 |
FIO
2 - 0
TER
70%
20%
10%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1975 |
FIO
0 - 2
SAM
69%
20%
11%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 1975 |
JUV
0 - 0
FIO
76%
16%
8%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1975 |
FIO
1 - 1
LAZ
54%
25%
20%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1974 |
CAG
2 - 1
FIO
39%
31%
31%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |