Bologna vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.4%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.7%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.8%
11.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 1942 |
BOL
1 - 2
NAP
77%
14%
9%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1942 |
MOD
1 - 0
BOL
35%
26%
40%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1942 |
BOL
7 - 1
LIV
72%
16%
12%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1942 |
INT
0 - 1
BOL
54%
23%
24%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1942 |
BOL
2 - 2
LAZ
67%
18%
15%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 1942 |
TRI
2 - 0
FIO
47%
24%
30%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1942 |
FIO
0 - 1
NAP
73%
15%
12%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1942 |
VNZ
2 - 1
FIO
62%
20%
18%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 May. 1942 |
FIO
8 - 0
MOD
69%
16%
15%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 May. 1942 |
ATL
2 - 1
FIO
49%
22%
30%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |