Bologna vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.7%
Win probability
2.98
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.4%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
14.2%
12%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1932 |
ROM
0 - 0
BOL
53%
23%
24%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1932 |
BOL
2 - 0
LEO
74%
15%
11%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1932 |
GEN
1 - 0
BOL
46%
25%
29%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1932 |
BOL
1 - 1
TOR
70%
17%
13%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1932 |
PAL
0 - 0
BOL
35%
24%
42%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1932 |
NAP
2 - 1
FIO
51%
21%
28%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1932 |
FIO
2 - 0
GEN
57%
20%
23%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1932 |
TRI
3 - 0
FIO
20%
20%
61%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 1932 |
FIO
0 - 0
INT
51%
21%
28%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1932 |
BAR
1 - 0
FIO
19%
19%
62%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |