Bologna vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.9%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.4%
14.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1932 |
LAZ
2 - 1
BOL
37%
27%
36%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1932 |
BOL
2 - 0
BAR
81%
12%
8%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1932 |
LEO
1 - 1
BOL
43%
25%
32%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1932 |
NAP
1 - 1
BOL
45%
25%
30%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1932 |
CAS
1 - 5
BOL
31%
24%
45%
|
86 | 62 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1932 |
FIO
2 - 2
GEN
62%
19%
19%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1932 |
BRE
0 - 1
FIO
27%
21%
52%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1932 |
FIO
3 - 0
ACM
61%
20%
19%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1932 |
FIO
1 - 2
JUV
41%
23%
36%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1932 |
FIO
2 - 1
BAR
85%
10%
6%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |