Inter-Cities Fairs Cup Semi-finals
Global 4-5
Bologna vs Ferencvárosi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
20.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 1968 |
FTC
3 - 2
BOL
54%
23%
23%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1968 |
BOL
1 - 0
MAN
73%
18%
9%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1968 |
ATL
1 - 0
BOL
29%
28%
43%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1968 |
BOL
1 - 1
ACM
51%
25%
24%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1968 |
BOL
1 - 0
ROM
73%
18%
10%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Ferencvárosi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 1968 |
FTC
3 - 2
BOL
54%
23%
23%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1968 |
ATH
1 - 2
FTC
61%
20%
19%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 1968 |
FTC
2 - 1
ATH
55%
23%
23%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1968 |
LIV
0 - 1
FTC
68%
18%
14%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1967 |
FTC
1 - 0
LIV
47%
25%
29%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | +1 |