Bologna vs Crotone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
20%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20%
11%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2007 |
TRE
1 - 1
BOL
33%
29%
37%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2007 |
BOL
0 - 1
BRE
48%
26%
26%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2007 |
JUV
3 - 1
BOL
77%
16%
7%
|
72 | 90 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2007 |
BOL
0 - 0
TRI
67%
21%
12%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2007 |
VIC
1 - 1
BOL
35%
29%
36%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2007 |
CRO
2 - 3
FRO
48%
26%
27%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2007 |
TRI
2 - 0
CRO
48%
27%
26%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2007 |
CRO
1 - 2
ARZ
39%
28%
34%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2007 |
PES
2 - 3
CRO
41%
27%
33%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2007 |
RIM
1 - 0
CRO
60%
23%
16%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |