Bologna vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
17.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
24.8%
14.4%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1986 |
FCC
1 - 2
BOL
53%
25%
21%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1986 |
BOL
1 - 1
INT
22%
25%
53%
|
63 | 85 | 22 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1986 |
BOL
4 - 0
CAT
68%
20%
12%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 1986 |
BOL
3 - 0
CAV
72%
17%
10%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1986 |
UDI
1 - 0
BOL
85%
10%
5%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1986 |
CAT
2 - 0
CAV
70%
18%
12%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1986 |
CAT
1 - 2
UDI
27%
25%
48%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 1986 |
BOL
4 - 0
CAT
68%
20%
12%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 1986 |
CAT
1 - 4
INT
14%
22%
65%
|
57 | 84 | 27 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1986 |
FCC
1 - 1
CAT
56%
24%
20%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |