Bologna vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
+3
10.8%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
18.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
11.3%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1982 |
BAR
1 - 0
BOL
43%
30%
27%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1982 |
BOL
1 - 1
CAV
71%
20%
9%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 1982 |
CAM
2 - 2
BOL
30%
30%
40%
|
69 | 49 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1982 |
ARZ
0 - 1
BOL
37%
30%
34%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1982 |
BOL
1 - 1
SSS
70%
21%
9%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1982 |
CAT
1 - 1
SSS
57%
27%
16%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1982 |
CAT
3 - 0
ARZ
57%
25%
18%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1982 |
COM
1 - 0
CAT
53%
28%
19%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1982 |
CAT
3 - 0
BAR
48%
29%
23%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 1982 |
CAM
0 - 0
CAT
42%
25%
33%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |