Bologna vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.2%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.1%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.4%
11.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 1962 |
BOL
2 - 2
TOR
79%
14%
8%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1962 |
SAM
2 - 3
BOL
42%
25%
33%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1962 |
BOL
1 - 0
TOR
77%
14%
9%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1962 |
ROM
3 - 1
BOL
62%
19%
19%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1962 |
ACM
3 - 1
BOL
74%
15%
11%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1962 |
CAT
1 - 5
JUV
22%
23%
55%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1962 |
CAT
3 - 2
MOD
59%
22%
19%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1962 |
SAM
4 - 0
CAT
59%
22%
19%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1962 |
NAP
3 - 2
CAT
50%
24%
26%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 1962 |
CAT
3 - 1
GEN
48%
26%
26%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |