Bologna vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.3%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
13.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1962 |
VIC
0 - 1
BOL
36%
25%
39%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1962 |
ATL
2 - 1
BOL
41%
25%
34%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 1962 |
BOL
2 - 0
SPA
66%
18%
16%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 1962 |
BOL
2 - 1
TOR
67%
19%
14%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1962 |
ACM
3 - 0
BOL
77%
14%
10%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1962 |
CAT
0 - 0
PAD
47%
26%
27%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1962 |
CAT
2 - 0
JUV
16%
20%
64%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 1962 |
FIO
0 - 0
CAT
81%
13%
7%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1962 |
CAT
1 - 1
ROM
35%
27%
38%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1962 |
PAL
0 - 0
CAT
44%
27%
30%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |