Bologna vs Casertana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.6%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.1%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.1%
9.3%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 1992 |
ANC
0 - 2
BOL
51%
27%
22%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1991 |
BOL
1 - 1
VNZ
70%
19%
11%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1991 |
MOD
1 - 0
BOL
41%
28%
31%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 1991 |
BOL
1 - 1
LEC
50%
26%
24%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 1991 |
PIS
0 - 0
BOL
54%
26%
21%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Casertana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 1992 |
CAS
0 - 0
MES
36%
29%
35%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1991 |
TAR
2 - 0
CAS
51%
28%
21%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1991 |
CAS
0 - 1
COS
35%
29%
37%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 1991 |
BRE
4 - 0
CAS
59%
26%
16%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 1991 |
CAS
3 - 2
PIA
48%
29%
23%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |