Bologna vs Casale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.6%
Win probability
3.15
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.2%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.4%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.9%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.3%
7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1933 |
NAP
2 - 1
BOL
42%
26%
32%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1933 |
BOL
2 - 1
INT
62%
20%
19%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 1933 |
FIO
1 - 0
BOL
40%
23%
36%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1933 |
BOL
2 - 2
ROM
65%
19%
16%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1933 |
LEO
1 - 3
BOL
40%
25%
35%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Casale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1933 |
LEO
2 - 1
CAS
65%
18%
17%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1933 |
CAS
0 - 0
USA
43%
23%
34%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1933 |
JUV
6 - 0
CAS
91%
6%
3%
|
64 | 90 | 26 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1933 |
CAS
1 - 0
TOR
22%
21%
57%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 1933 |
BAR
3 - 3
CAS
64%
19%
17%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |