Bologna vs Casale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.1%
Win probability
3.18
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.7%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.4%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.6%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.7%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.1%
6.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 1932 |
USA
3 - 3
BOL
41%
22%
37%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1932 |
TRI
1 - 1
BOL
29%
24%
47%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1932 |
BOL
6 - 1
BRE
74%
16%
11%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1932 |
BOL
4 - 0
PRO
82%
12%
7%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1932 |
JUV
3 - 2
BOL
68%
18%
15%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Casale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 1932 |
CAS
0 - 1
TRI
53%
21%
25%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1932 |
TOR
3 - 1
CAS
80%
12%
8%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 May. 1932 |
CAS
4 - 0
MOD
46%
22%
32%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 May. 1932 |
FIO
4 - 1
CAS
79%
13%
9%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1932 |
USA
1 - 4
CAS
74%
15%
11%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | +1 |