Bologna vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.8%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.3%
11.8%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1991 |
PIA
0 - 1
BOL
30%
29%
41%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1991 |
CES
1 - 0
BOL
52%
25%
23%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1991 |
BOL
2 - 0
ASL
70%
20%
11%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1991 |
BRE
1 - 0
BOL
37%
30%
34%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1991 |
BOL
2 - 2
MES
70%
19%
11%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1991 |
PAD
4 - 0
MES
49%
27%
24%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1991 |
ASL
1 - 1
PAD
50%
28%
21%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1991 |
PAD
0 - 0
CAS
64%
23%
13%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1991 |
TAR
2 - 0
PAD
43%
30%
27%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 1991 |
PAD
0 - 0
BRE
59%
25%
16%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |