Bologna vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
20.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 1960 |
BOL
5 - 0
ATL
66%
19%
15%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1960 |
ACM
2 - 2
BOL
76%
14%
10%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1960 |
NAP
2 - 0
BOL
43%
25%
33%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1960 |
BOL
2 - 0
UDI
68%
18%
15%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1960 |
BOL
3 - 1
ROM
57%
22%
22%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 1960 |
LAZ
2 - 0
PAD
47%
24%
29%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1960 |
PAD
1 - 2
NAP
63%
20%
18%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1960 |
PAD
1 - 1
USA
76%
15%
9%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1960 |
BAR
5 - 2
PAD
32%
28%
40%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 May. 1960 |
PAD
1 - 0
FIO
35%
24%
41%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | +1 |