Bologna vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
17.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 1952 |
BOL
4 - 1
NOV
60%
21%
19%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1952 |
NAP
1 - 1
BOL
51%
25%
25%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1952 |
UNI
0 - 2
BOL
55%
22%
23%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 1952 |
BOL
3 - 4
INT
29%
23%
48%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 1952 |
BOL
2 - 0
UDI
58%
21%
21%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 1952 |
PAD
0 - 1
NAP
48%
24%
28%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1952 |
COM
3 - 2
PAD
57%
21%
23%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 1952 |
PAD
1 - 0
PRO
52%
23%
25%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 1952 |
JUV
3 - 0
PAD
88%
8%
4%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 1952 |
PAD
2 - 4
SPA
52%
23%
25%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |