Bologna vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
19%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
18.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1950 |
ACM
2 - 0
BOL
81%
12%
8%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1950 |
BOL
5 - 2
TOR
27%
22%
51%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 1950 |
VNZ
1 - 1
BOL
41%
25%
34%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1950 |
BOL
1 - 0
SAM
49%
23%
28%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 1950 |
LAZ
3 - 2
BOL
63%
19%
18%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1950 |
PAD
3 - 2
ASL
55%
21%
24%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1950 |
JUV
4 - 0
PAD
81%
12%
8%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1950 |
BAR
1 - 0
PAD
39%
26%
36%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1950 |
PAD
3 - 0
VNZ
65%
19%
16%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 1950 |
ATL
4 - 0
PAD
58%
21%
22%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |