Bologna vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
18.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 1949 |
PRO
0 - 3
BOL
48%
23%
29%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1949 |
ROM
1 - 1
BOL
50%
24%
26%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1949 |
BAR
3 - 0
BOL
32%
26%
42%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 1949 |
ASL
1 - 1
BOL
45%
24%
31%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1948 |
BOL
3 - 0
JUV
38%
25%
37%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 1949 |
LAZ
1 - 1
PAD
63%
19%
18%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1949 |
PAD
0 - 0
GEN
41%
25%
34%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1949 |
JUV
6 - 1
PAD
74%
15%
11%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 1949 |
PAL
1 - 0
PAD
43%
25%
33%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1948 |
INT
1 - 1
PAD
74%
15%
11%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |