Bologna vs Cagliari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
24.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1970 |
VAR
0 - 1
BOL
39%
28%
33%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1970 |
ROM
1 - 2
BOL
47%
28%
25%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1970 |
BOL
1 - 1
SAM
59%
25%
16%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1970 |
TOR
1 - 1
BOL
53%
26%
20%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1970 |
BOL
1 - 0
JUV
48%
27%
25%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1970 |
CAG
1 - 0
TOR
70%
19%
11%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1970 |
TOR
0 - 4
CAG
46%
29%
26%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1970 |
ACM
0 - 0
CAG
58%
25%
17%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1970 |
CAG
2 - 0
BAR
72%
19%
9%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1970 |
CAG
2 - 0
PAL
70%
20%
10%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |