Coppa Italia 1/16
Global 5-3
Bologna vs Brindisi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.3%
Win probability
2.9
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.7%
5-0
6.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.8%
4-0
11.3%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.9%
3-0
15.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.1%
2-0
16.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18%
9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
4%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
0
9%
2.6%
Win probability
0.36
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
2.2%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
LAZ
2 - 1
BOL
71%
18%
11%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
BOL
2 - 2
PRG
45%
25%
30%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
JUV
2 - 1
BOL
76%
15%
9%
|
82 | 91 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2003 |
BRI
3 - 2
BOL
12%
22%
67%
|
82 | 51 | 31 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
MOD
2 - 0
BOL
31%
27%
43%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Brindisi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2003 |
BRI
3 - 2
BOL
12%
22%
67%
|
51 | 82 | 31 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2003 |
AVE
0 - 3
BRI
62%
21%
16%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | +2 |
| 26 Aug. 2003 |
LEC
0 - 3
BRI
83%
13%
5%
|
47 | 74 | 27 | +2 |
| 17 Aug. 2003 |
BRI
1 - 1
CAT
24%
23%
53%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 1989 |
LEC
2 - 0
BRI
80%
15%
5%
|
47 | 74 | 27 | -1 |