Bologna vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.2%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
9.5%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 1968 |
CAG
1 - 1
BOL
37%
28%
35%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1968 |
BOL
0 - 0
SAM
75%
16%
9%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1968 |
BOL
4 - 0
REG
81%
13%
7%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1968 |
MAN
0 - 0
BOL
20%
28%
52%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1968 |
BOL
5 - 0
ATL
74%
17%
9%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 1968 |
BRE
0 - 5
TOR
40%
30%
31%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1968 |
CAG
3 - 0
BRE
64%
22%
14%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 1968 |
BRE
0 - 0
NAP
38%
29%
34%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1968 |
VIC
0 - 1
BRE
58%
24%
18%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Dec. 1967 |
ROM
2 - 0
BRE
59%
24%
17%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |