Bologna vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.5%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.7%
8.8%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1965 |
INT
0 - 0
BOL
71%
17%
12%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1965 |
TOR
2 - 4
BOL
47%
25%
27%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 1965 |
BOL
4 - 1
ACM
41%
25%
34%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1965 |
ATL
4 - 1
BOL
32%
29%
39%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1965 |
BOL
3 - 2
FIO
47%
24%
29%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1965 |
BRE
4 - 0
JUV
30%
27%
43%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1965 |
ROM
1 - 1
BRE
63%
22%
15%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 1965 |
BRE
1 - 0
VIC
40%
27%
33%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1965 |
TOR
2 - 0
BRE
66%
21%
13%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1965 |
BRE
2 - 1
LAZ
50%
27%
23%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |