Bologna vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.8%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.5%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.7%
9.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1935 |
JUV
0 - 0
BOL
73%
16%
12%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1935 |
NAP
0 - 1
BOL
46%
25%
30%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1935 |
BOL
3 - 0
INT
60%
20%
21%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 1935 |
FIO
0 - 1
BOL
45%
25%
30%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1935 |
BOL
4 - 1
GEN
72%
16%
13%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1935 |
BRE
0 - 0
GEN
44%
24%
32%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1935 |
USA
5 - 0
BRE
63%
19%
18%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 1935 |
BRE
2 - 2
TOR
48%
24%
28%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1935 |
NAP
1 - 0
BRE
60%
21%
18%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 1935 |
BRE
1 - 0
INT
31%
27%
42%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | +1 |