Bologna vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.7%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.5%
10.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1932 |
BOL
4 - 0
PRO
82%
12%
7%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1932 |
JUV
3 - 2
BOL
68%
18%
15%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1932 |
BOL
4 - 0
MOD
78%
13%
9%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1932 |
INT
4 - 3
BOL
60%
21%
20%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1932 |
GEN
3 - 2
BOL
49%
24%
27%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1932 |
BRE
4 - 2
GEN
37%
25%
38%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1932 |
BRE
2 - 0
LEO
48%
22%
29%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 1932 |
TRI
1 - 1
BRE
46%
23%
31%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1932 |
BRE
0 - 0
PRO
59%
21%
21%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1932 |
ACM
2 - 2
BRE
71%
16%
13%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |