Bologna vs Spezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.4%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
8.8%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
PES
0 - 1
BOL
29%
28%
43%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
BOL
2 - 3
SAM
48%
26%
26%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -2 |
| 23 Aug. 2006 |
CAV
0 - 2
BOL
18%
26%
56%
|
77 | 55 | 22 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
BOL
2 - 1
CTT
75%
17%
8%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2006 |
BOL
3 - 0
FCC
80%
15%
5%
|
77 | 50 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
SPE
1 - 1
CES
27%
28%
45%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
GEN
3 - 2
SPE
60%
22%
18%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -2 |
| 18 May. 2006 |
NAP
1 - 1
SPE
53%
25%
22%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2006 |
SPE
0 - 0
NAP
28%
27%
45%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
SPE
2 - 1
RAV
48%
28%
24%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |