Bologna vs Ascoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
20.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 1979 |
INT
0 - 0
BOL
70%
20%
10%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1979 |
PRG
3 - 1
BOL
62%
24%
14%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 1979 |
BOL
0 - 1
ACM
29%
27%
44%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1979 |
TOR
3 - 1
BOL
76%
16%
8%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1978 |
BOL
1 - 1
NAP
44%
29%
27%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 1979 |
ASC
0 - 0
NAP
41%
30%
29%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1979 |
ROM
1 - 0
ASC
55%
25%
20%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 1979 |
ASC
2 - 1
FIO
42%
29%
30%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 1979 |
VIC
1 - 1
ASC
58%
24%
19%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1978 |
AVE
3 - 1
ASC
34%
29%
38%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | -1 |