Bologna vs Ascoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.8%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
8.9%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1975 |
SAM
1 - 0
BOL
31%
30%
39%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1975 |
BOL
0 - 0
ACM
43%
26%
32%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1975 |
VAR
1 - 4
BOL
33%
30%
37%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1975 |
BOL
1 - 2
LAZ
57%
24%
19%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1975 |
TER
0 - 0
BOL
34%
29%
37%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1975 |
ASC
1 - 0
TER
50%
29%
21%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1975 |
VIC
1 - 0
ASC
57%
26%
17%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 1975 |
SAM
0 - 0
ASC
51%
29%
21%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1975 |
ASC
2 - 0
VAR
48%
29%
23%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 1975 |
FIO
0 - 0
ASC
71%
19%
10%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |